Middle East Prepares for U.S. Attacks on Houthis

Middle East Prepares for U.S. Attacks on Houthis

In a rapidly unfolding development, the Middle East is on high alert as preparations intensify for imminent U.S.-led coalition strikes on Houthi positions. This escalation comes after the Yemeni rebel force defied a recent ultimatum to halt attacks on ships navigating the Red Sea, launching a barrage of missiles and drones on Tuesday.

Western Diplomats Share Insights

Maritime executives are guided by insights from Western diplomats. They anticipate potential targets, which include missile and drone launch sites, radars, and weapons depots around the Yemeni cities of Hodeida and Hajjah. The bustling capital of San’a is also identified as a possible target. The United Nations has voiced apprehension regarding a recent Houthi naval deployment on Kamaran Island and the establishment of a base in the Zubayr archipelago. This development is seen as a potential menace to international shipping.

Houthi Forces Prepare for Strikes

In anticipation of the coalition strikes in the Middle East, Houthi forces have strategically transported weapons and fortified key positions. Bunkers strategically located in densely populated areas of San’a reportedly stockpile missiles, raising concerns about potential civilian casualties.

Iranian Involvement Raises Stakes

Reports indicate that the Iranian spy vessel, Behshad, recognized for its role in aiding Houthi attacks on shipping, has departed the Red Sea for Bandar Abbas. Furthermore, intelligence provided by Iran on vessels linked to Israel sailing from Turkey adds another layer of complexity to the situation. In a retaliatory move, Iran has seized a Greek-run tanker, accusing it of facilitating U.S. oil seizures last year.

Global Markets React: Oil Prices Surge

Global markets are already reacting to the news, with oil prices surging approximately 2.3% in London. Despite the ongoing Houthi attacks since November, crude prices had remained relatively stable until now.

Roots of Conflict: From 2014 to Present

The conflict traces back to 2014 when Houthi fighters seized power in Yemen. This prompted a military campaign by Saudi Arabia and other Arab nations. Ongoing talks between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis, aimed at resolving the conflict, have faced setbacks. These setbacks are particularly due to recent tensions between Hamas and Israel.

Coalition’s Caution and Objectives

If the anticipated coalition attack unfolds overnight Thursday into Friday, it will follow a final warning. This warning was issued by the U.S., Britain, and key allies to the Houthi rebel group. The warning urged them to cease their attacks on international shipping in the Red Sea.

Balancing Act Amid Regional Complexity

The Biden administration and the U.S.-led coalition have approached the situation with caution. Their aim is to avoid triggering a wider regional conflict, especially considering the Houthi group’s backing from Tehran. The coalition’s strike plan aims to curb Houthi attacks without exacerbating tensions in the already volatile region.

Gaza Conflict and Target Selection

According to a report by the Wall Street Journal, the Houthis attribute their attacks on ships to the war in Gaza, claiming to target any Israeli-affiliated vessels. However, a significant number of the targeted ships have no apparent connection to Israel or the ongoing conflict.

UN Resolution and Industry Impact

Amid these developments, the United Nations Security Council has passed a resolution. The resolution calls for an immediate cessation of attacks that impede global commerce and navigational rights. However, the resolution’s impact remains uncertain, as geopolitical complexities and regional alliances come to the forefront according to Bloomberg.

Disruptions and Rerouting

Despite disruptions to shipping routes critical for the world’s oil supply, major companies like BP and Maersk have rerouted their ships. Container volumes through the Suez Canal have seen a significant decline, affecting global trade dynamics. The situation remains fluid, and the international community watches with bated breath. Tensions in the Middle East are escalating to a critical juncture.

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